His contract with Washington will keep him in a uniform through 2021, and by then, he should have a strong case. Has Yadier Molina Successfully Framed His Hall of Fame Case? Its an impressive resume, and one that has him as a top-10 starting pitcher of the last decade, but its just not enough for Cooperstown. Enter your email below and we'll send you another email. Adam Wainwright on Baseball Reference.. He has put together a solid career, posting a 193-114 record with a 3.34 ERA and a 1.208 WHiP over his 2538.2 innings . Gerrit Cole (117 wins at age 31) and Chris Sale (114 wins at age 32) are the likeliest active pitchers to approach Wainwrights total. Mandatory Credit: Jeff Curry-USA TODAY Sports. All Wins Above Replacement and Wins Above Average data comes . This isnt your fathers Hall of Fame. Albert Pujols and Yadier Molina played their final game in the majors, a disappointing 2-0 loss to eliminate them from the Wild Card round. Here's how WBC offenses stack up with MLB's best, Scherzer tries to test pitch clock limits, gets balk, Jays 'playing it safe' after Guerrero tweaks knee, PitchCom-tipping: Loud device leaks Twins calls, Eflin's first start after $40M deal impresses Rays, Rangers' Leclerc to miss WBC with neck injury, Rockies' Rodgers may need surgery, '23 at risk, Rojas to withdraw from WBC, stay with Dodgers. Its an unfortunate injury that was sustained to of all places his throwing shoulder. Adam Wainwright answers if he thinks he's a Hall of Famer | Foul Has Adam Wainwright done enough to deserve a place in the Hall of Fame? Sabathia has largely been a disappointment since signing a nine-figure extension with the team, and he likely wont be retained when his contract expires after this season. 76-43, 3.18 ERA, 1,183 strikeouts, 124 adjusted ERA. With a big age-28 season (5.2 WAR and counting) driven by his 31 homers, 138 OPS+, and 9 DRS, Ramirez is making notable progress toward Cooperstown, particularly given that hes already banked two seven-win seasons. But lets see: frequently injured pitcher, already off schedule in spring training, not quite prepared for a full-on pitching test. He was the first pitcher aged 39 or older since Mike Mussina in 2008 to throw at least 200 innings with an ERA+ of 125 or better. Annual promotional dates for the Purina Pooches in the Ballpark game and Edward Jones Cardinals Hall of Fame Weekend are scheduled for April 30 and August 26-28, respectively. If hes still got the stuff and durability to get to 3,000, the rest of the numbers might fall into place. He has been a recurring guest on MLB Network and a member of the BBWAA since 2011. Likewise, his 42.4 bWAR is lower than the likes of Javier Vazquez, Al Leiter, and Frank Viola. When it comes down to it, Sabathia may find himself in a logjam of other similar pitchers, and if he does get in, it may take him some time. Adam Wainwright (44.0 career | 35.5 Peak | 39.8 JAWS, +2.1 JAWS). He has similar numbers (albeit slightly worse) than Roy Halladay. JAWS and peak (WAR7) gains are the major drivers of this, but positional standards, traditional milestones, and ordinal rankings are considerations as well. Of the four active starters who are within hailing distance of the JAWS standard (61.1), none has done more to help himself in 2021 than Scherzer, who has been stellar in his age-36 season, pitching to a 2.40 ERA and 3.12 FIP in 146 innings for the Nationals and Dodgers. Listen to the Seeing Red podcast on the Cardinals, featuring Will Leitch and Miklasz. That may be what landed him on the disabled list with shoulder inflammation this year. The two-time NL Cy Young winner began his season by reeling off one of the most amazing runs of any pitcher in recent memory, posting an 0.50 ERA and 0.87 FIP through his first 12 starts. By what Ill provisionally call R(eliever)-JAWS, hes climbed from 22nd all-time to 15th, which is still well below the standard for the eight enshrined relievers (29.7). Im going to disregard them for now, though all five should (and all but Sabathia probably will) make it eventually. Hes actually been tougher to hit than in any season since 2016, but his 14% walk rate has created more traffic than ever, and hes blown five of 35 save chances, though three of those were in consecutive outings in mid-July, accounting for seven of the 16 earned runs hes allowed. Leg and glute stiffness that limited his leg drive, the aftereffect of recent back spasms, and a torn finger blister. It's a career that includes 10 All-Star Games, nine Gold Gloves, four Platinum Gloves, two World Series titles and plenty of adulation from the St. Louis area and beyond. Bernie On The Cardinals: Wainwright and Flaherty In Spring Training Jansens 30 saves have pushed him to 14th on the all-time list, five away from the next rung and 26 away from cracking the top 10. That seems to be a pretty good baseline.. Winnowing the 180/2,000/3.40/350/2,300 field down to just wild card-era pitchers makes for an even more exclusive group: Wainwright, Scherzer, Verlander, Kershaw, Clemens plus Hall of Famers Greg Maddux, Randy Johnson, Roy Halladay and Pedro Martinez. 177-110, 3.51 ERA, 2,272 strikeouts, 122 adjusted ERA. Aroldis Chapman (18.5 WAR | 19.9 WPA | 12.0 WPA/LI | 16.8 R-JAWS, +0.6 R-JAWS). Adam Wainwright set to join legendary list for St. Louis Cardinals Play-by-play data prior to 2002 was obtained free of charge from and is copyrighted
The just-turned-40-year-old is currently in the midst of a late-career renaissance (2.97 ERA, 3.1 WAR), leaving many to wonder what might have been if not for the injuries that effectively cost him three seasons from ages 29 to 36. What a different story we could be telling about 'Waino' had he stayed in Atlanta. Strikeouts are booming like never before. After suffering a setback around the trade deadline, he only returned to throwing on August 25; the Mets are holding out hope that the 33-year-old righty can rejoin them by mid-September. We've sent an email with instructions to create a new password. The best pitcher in MLB? This adds up to a solid career, and one that would be worthy of the Hall of Very Good, but not the Hall of Fame. Hes produced 5.0 WAR with his pitching but -0.6 WAR with his hitting with a remarkable .000/.000/.000 line taking this no-hitter thing a bit too literally through 50 PA; on Wednesday night, he surpassed Wei-Yin Chens record for season-opening futility, set in 2016. Maybe he has it in him to stick around for another 20 wins to get to 200, but he might not even crack the top 100 in JAWS while doing so. Watch: Cardinals honor Albert Pujols, Adam Wainwright and - FanSided Hernandez also holds the distinction of having been the last MLB pitcher to throw a perfect game (2012). He entered Thursday 16-7 on. Velocity? Hall of Stats: Adam Wainwright Madison Bumgarner is still just 27 years old, but hes already etched his name into baseball lore as one of the greatest big-game pitchers of all-time. Among the sixty-five (again, the number of Hall of Fame starting pitchers) greatest starting pitchers in history, five are either currently active or retired but not yet Hall eligibleJustin Verlander, Clayton Kershaw, Max Scherzer, Zack Greinke, and CC Sabathia. Adam Wainwright, is probably not a Hall of Famer and his 36.7 JAWS likely shouldn't be used as the new . It may rile up some traditionalists who are married to the idea pitchers must win 300 games and strike out 3,000 batters to be considered Hall-worthy. Jim Bowden (The Athletic) was at Cardinal camp earlier this week and asked president of baseball operations John Mozeliak about Flahertys status. Its a shame because he was off to a great start to his season, with 1.9 WAR and a 195 OPS+ in just 36 games. Central Cincinnati Reds first baseman Joey Votto headlines the list of players in the National League West who are on track to have a chance to make it into baseball's Hall of Fame. Hes 28th in R-JAWS, 1.2 points behind the lowest-ranked enshrined reliever (Bruce Sutter), and at age 33, needs to rebound if hes to have a shot at election that is, if voters will overlook his 2016 suspension under MLBs domestic violence policy, which is uncharted territory for Hall candidates. By either that mark or traditional reliever JAWS, the 33-year-old Kimbrel is the biggest gainer this year. Gibson got his 2,000th strikeout when Pittsburghs Roberto Clemente was called out on July 13, 1969. . Just want to take care of some minor inflammation after he ramped up his throwing and pitch counts. But if it wasn't for . Opinions expressed by Forbes Contributors are their own. Mike Trout, center field (76.2 career | 65.1 Peak | 70.6 JAWS, +0.5 JAWS). Well have to wait and see. Adam Wainwright has the second-most WAR of any Cardinals pitcher all-time (44.5). But compared to Molina or especially Pujols, Adam Wainwright is an underdog. Adam Wainwright will make history as he will become the seventh pitcher in St. Louis Cardinals history to start a game after his 41st birthday. Gibson got his 2,000th strikeout when Pittsburgh's Roberto Clemente was called out on July 13, 1969. He went 17-7 with 174 strikeouts and a 3.05 ERA in 32 starts spanning 206 1/3 innings the third-highest total in the majors. After slaying the October beast that had haunted him for so many years, Kershaw pitched reasonably well through the first three months of the season, posting a 3.39 ERA and 2.98 FIP the latter his lowest mark since 2016 in 106.1 innings. Adam Wainwright - Taddlr That being said, the question I had is what a retirement for Adam Wainwright . That's an average of 174 innings per year. and play-by-play data provided by Sports Info Solutions. Adam Wainwright Archives - Cooperstown Cred Theres a good chance no pitcher will again crack the 300-win plateau, a mark that has been achieved 24 times throughout the sports history. Keep your fingers crossed, St. Louis fans.. St. Louis Cardinals pitcher Adam Wainwright may have ended a solid career. St. Louis Cardinals right-hander Adam Wainwright reaches 2,000 career All advice, including picks and predictions, is based on individual commentators opinions and not that of Minute Media or its related brands. Rolen, a member of the Cardinals Hall of Fame, was welcomed to the 'family' of Hall of Famers during an event and press conference Feb. 28, 2023 in Cooperstown, N.Y. Cy Young awards, no-hitters, and ERA titles may be better methods for evaluating the 21st century pitcher than the sheer outdated statistic of wins.. He'll retire with honors and accolades, becoming a fine coach and St. Louis area legend. Only Price (2018) and Bumgarner (2019) have pitched enough to qualify for an ERA title once since the 2017 season. NL Wild Card Game: Is Adam Wainwright Going To Join Max - Forbes Still, Hernandez has quite a resume over the last decade hes been named to six All-Star teams, won 156 games for a perennially-losing franchise that hasnt sniffed the postseason, and hes won a Cy Young award to go with multiple ERA titles. His sinker averaged 84.9 mph, a 3.7 percent decrease from 2022. As if on schedule, we have our first spring-training round of Is Anything Wrong? with the pitcher. But he didnt become a full-time starter until his age-24 season, and hes now pitched for a quarter of the American League teams. One other thing to note: since my reference point for old WAR and JAWS figures dates back to January 2021, some portion of these players gains may be due to updates to bWAR itself, particularly via changes to 19 and 20 park factors and tweaks to 201720 Defensive Runs Saved that were announced in March, but also due to a second update to 2020 park factors that just went live on Tuesday. However, not all stories have happy endings. Even so, five catchers including the younger and still-productive Buster Posey outrank him in the framing-inclusive version of my metric, and with an 80 wRC+ and 0.7 fWAR this year, plus plans to retire after 2022, he might not even catch Russell Martin (49.1) or Joe Mauer (49.3) in the rankings. With eight All-Star selections, three Cy Young awards, and a World Series ring, Kershaw is probably a lock for election already, but reaching and surpassing some major career milestones would further elevate him in the pantheon. But theres a rhythm to the ritual. The good news is that Sale is missing bats and taking names, offering hope that the 32-year-old lefty can resume a quest for Cooperstown that was beginning to come into focus before he was injured. St. Louis Cardinals analyst Brad Thompson joins Blair and Barker to talk about whether Adam Wainwright deserves a nod into the Baseball Hall of Fame, stating you can make the case for the veteran pitcher although hes not a sure-fire candidate yet. Your email address will not be published. Will this happen? Major League and Minor League Baseball data provided by Major League Baseball. Sometimes a little spring-training soreness is nothing more than a little spring-training soreness. Has Adam Wainwright done enough to deserve a place in the Hall of Fame? There are some people that feel Wainwright will join his legendary teammates in Cooperstown at some point in time, a trio of Hall of Famers all departing the Cardinals at the same time. Hes got a long ways to go to reach 200 wins (he has 112), but hes already at 2,031 strikeouts. Actually, it's two starting pitchers: Jack Flaherty and Adam Wainwright. The slugger hit .274 with 32 homers and 97 RBIs in 160 games last year. But at least it wont be historically egregious. How Corbin Burnes became an ace by making his bed, Top moments from Brady, Manning, Jordan and other athletes hosting 'Saturday Night Live', Fantasy baseball rankings, projections, strategy and cheat sheets, Spring batting averages, runs up amid shift limits. King Felix is still just 31 years old, despite close to 2,500 innings on his right arm. 34. As his 136 OPS+ and 26 homers attest, he can still rake even at age 40, but with 443 career dingers, hes two seasons away from reaching 500 (42% odds, via ZiPS). Justin Verlander has pulled off one of the rare accomplishments for a pitcher winning a league MVP award. His career just does not stack up to that level. It just was not the type of career that was worthy of the Hall of Fame. No Cy's (albeit 4 top 3 finishes). That includes 2020, a season shortened by the pandemic. While these numbers are impressive, they may not be enough to convince voters that Adam Wainwright is a Hall of Famer. March 2, 2023 | 00:00:10. It's not the be-all end-all but his baseball reference kind of shows that he really shouldn't make it. Still, hes won 230 games, led the league in wins twice, and won a Cy Young award and a World Series ring. He missed large chunks of his playing career due to injuries, and while this has not always been a deal-breaker for Cooperstown, Wainwrights perfectly fine peak was hardly that of go-to example Sandy Koufax. Even in the he falls short but not short enough to not make it hypothetical, the easiest path is likely for Adam Wainwright to post 8.1 WAR under both methods. The secret to Adam Wainwright's success? A curveball like none other Alas, just before the All-Star break, the 33-year-old southpaw landed on the injured list due to inflammation in his left forearm and hasnt even gotten to the point of a rehab stint yet after suffering a setback in late July. Well know more about Jacks Comeback after he makes his first two or three pitching appearances in the Florida game. But compared to Molina or especially Pujols, Adam Wainwright is an underdog. He was the MVP of the 2014 World Series after two dominant starts and then five scoreless innings off the bench in Game 7, and hes been a key contributor to three championship teams. May need surgery, but were not close to making any kind of decision on that. Terms of Service. It is possible that the same will be the case for a third Cardinals legend. 4th stage: The latest MRI showed something that was a little off, and we think its smart to do more tests and let him go get a second opinion. Just to be clear, its not an injury deal; its about him not syncing his body up correctly, and he didnt feel like he was getting the leg drive he typically gets, Cardinals manager Oli Marmol said. But is it a Hall of Fame caliber career? After posting a 3.84 expected ERA in 2022, that metric jumped to 4.53 last season. It's an ex-Chip's Worldand we're just picking up the pieces. And while deGromcontinued to blast 100-mph fastball after 100-mph fastball past hitterseven while missing turns here and there due to what were believed (by the Mets, at least) to be minor and disconnected injuries, he finally landed on the IL in early July with forearm inflammation. He surpassed 200 wins in 2019 (hes at 219 now), but with his strikeout rate dipping from 24.5% last year to 17.0% this year, hes still 201 strikeouts away from 3,000 and will probably need two seasons to reach the milestone instead of one. Poll : Should Adam Wainwright be in the Hall of Fame? His contract (seven years, $175 million) ensures he will pitch in Seattle at least through 2019, but his velocity numbers and declining ERA suggest his career may be on the downside. Please logout and login again. Im skeptical only because of the history of how the Cardinals do this when a pitcher doesnt pitch, or takes a delay before his next assignment. Pitching to a 3.66 ERA and 4.45 FIP, hes produced a respectable 2.2 WAR, though hes still 0.6 points below the JAWS standard. You may have created an account with another Rogers Media account that can be used to sign in here. Please contact us. Follow Cody Swartz on Twitter (@cbswartz5). It happens a lot. But Wainwright proved his solid 2020 wasnt a brief mirage. Adam Wainwright's age is 41. While Drew was a fine player throughout his career, he would only spend the 2004 season with the Braves. Ive lost track. Hes still going strong, as hes tops in the NL in wins (8) in 2017. Its my belief that this as-yet-unnamed metric which Im hoping to formalize in time for the upcoming election cycle does a better job of emphasizing closers rather than starters-turned-relievers who racked up significant WAR in the rotations before making the move to roles more fireman-like than closer-like; it bumps the likes of Tom Gordon, Ellis Kinder, Bobby Shantz, and Kerry Wood down several pegs. At 41-years-old, Adam Wainwright's statistics suggest no signs of slowing down. Opinion | Is Wainright a hall of famer? | ksdk.com But Adam Wainwrights story also isnt complete. Saturday marked the end of an era for the St. Louis Cardinals. 2/4/18 Super Bowl champs. Flahertys exhibition-season debut was supposed to happen Saturday, but now the assignment has been switched to Sunday. 100-70, 2.99 ERA, 1,409 strikeouts, 123 adjusted ERA. {* backButton *} Paul Goldschmidt, first base (49.1 career | 40.6 Peak | 44.9 JAWS, +2.2 JAWS). He had a 4.99 ERA in his last 11 starts in 2022 including a 7.22 ERA in his final six starts. Even if he does that, hes well short of the JAWS standard or even the 55.7 career WAR of David Ortiz, plus he has the stigma of his 2013 PED suspension to overcome. This year, however, the biggest stars of Opening Day will be three players in Cardinals jerseys who all have legitimate shots of someday being in baseball's Hall of Fame themselves. His induction was most likely heavily influenced by his passing, but I think sets the bar for what a pitcher needs to have accomplished in recent years. Were just giving him a little extra time in between appearances to rebound from his first time out. Gibson, who died last October, finished with 3,117. It is possible that the same will be the case for a third Cardinals legend. Ten Position Players Who Have Most Helped Their Hall of Fame Cases in Ad Choices Heres what Bowden wrote: Mozeliak was cautious in his comments and reminded me that the right-hander threw only 36 innings last year. Or could it be that a lot of this is happening because Wainwright is 41 years old and headed to his 42nd birthday on Aug. 30? Flaherty insists hes feeling great this spring. by Handedness, Seven Pitchers (and Some More Position Players) Who Have Most Helped Their Hall of Fame Cases in 2021. With 273 homers, Goldschmidt could reach 300 by the end of next season, though with 1,539 hits, the 2,000 milestone and real clarity on his fate is probably three seasons away. Build your customFanSided Daily email newsletter with news and analysis onSt. Louis Cardinals and all your favorite sports teams, TV shows, and more. Those skills may eventually result in a spot in the Hall of Fame. Adam Wainwright is one of the more curious pitchers in baseball, and a recent thread raised a couple questions to me. As noted above, for the past few election cycles, Ive turned away from reliever JAWS in favor of a hybrid metric using WAR, WPA, and WPA/LI. Its early, its the process, hell be ready to go when its time to go. St. Louis Cardinals starting pitcher Adam Wainwright (50) sits in the dugout during the second inning of a baseball game between the Cardinals and the Pirates on Thursday, April, 7, 2022, at. Guerrero is on the Dominican Republic roster for this months World Baseball Classic. Adam Wainwright (44.0 career | 35.5 Peak | 39.8 JAWS, +2.1 JAWS). He'll retire with honors and accolades, becoming a fine coach and St. Louis area legend. Adam Wainwright will return for his 19th season with the. Not an injury issue? Hes got three seasons of 3.0 WAR or less as part of his peak score and has a good shot at continuing his big strides in the next few years. PITTSBURGH, PA - AUGUST 28: Adam Wainwright #50 of, the St. Louis Cardinals applauds after a defensive play by Nolan Arenado #28 in the first inning during the game against the Pittsburgh Pirates at PNC Park on August 28, 2021 in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania. Assuming he pitches in 2022, a year in which I am assuming Major League Baseball will indeed be played, which he has already announced will be his last, Wainwrights first round of Hall of Fame votes would not even be revealed until 2028. I took a look at 10 active starting pitchers with borderline Hall of Fame resumes and broke down their odds of enshrinement. But I want to consider Adam Wainwrights Hall of Fame case as a purely statistical candidate based on the statistics we currently have. Adam Wainwright biography, birth date, birth place and pictures Wainwright is a Hall of Fame person, and a very good pitcher. Given the way hes been pitching as of late, thats certainly not farfetched. His 2011 season, in which he went 24-5 with a 2.40 ERA and led the league in a slew of categories wins, ERA, games started, innings pitched, strikeouts, WHIP, adjusted ERA, and hits allowed per nine innings earned him a distinction that hadnt been accomplished since Roger Clemens in 1986. He struck out 14 in his MLB debut and it seemed evident that he and Bryce Harper were going to lead the team to not only a World Series championship, but multiple titles. I like that its a round number, but I assure you that this is merely a coincidence. Bumgarner has thrown 36 career innings in the World Series and allowed one earned run. He went from having a 3.8 WAR in 2021 to 2.8 WAR last year. The greatest lineups ever? To be clear, Adam Wainwright will certainly make it onto the Baseball Hall of Fame ballot, and based on the ease with which even seemingly fringe candidates are able to garner them, will probably get some votes.
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